The 70% chance of a powerful earthquake in the next four years.

PUBLIC_FLAG_#{@journal.pf_int} RSS feed of Snoopy's latest journal entries Jan 26th 2012 15:30 japan situation earthquakes
Living in Japan means living with natural disasters, especially earthquakes. Because of this, elementary schools often conduct emergency drills. Japanese people, even small children, know what to do when earthquakes happen. However, there are differences in preparations for earthquakes among areas.

It has been predicted for perhaps about 40 years that Shizuoka prefecture/静岡県 has the highest chance of a powerful earthquake. Because of this, the area has been paying the greatest attention in Japan to preparations for earthquakes. I've heard that many schools there require their students to wear helmets on the way to and from school. The residents have been making great efforts to make their houses more earthquake resistant.

When some friends of mine who were raised in Osaka moved to Tokyo, all of them told me that the frequency of earthquakes in Tokyo was much higher than in Osaka. They said that they were surprised to see that Tokyo people were used to earthquakes. At the time, people in Tokyo paid more attention to preparing themselves for earthquakes than in Osaka.

I've been recently living in the Tokyo area, but I was raised mainly in Osaka. I don't remember I felt earthquakes in childhood. I'm sure I had them, but I don't think they were strong enough to shock me. In contrast, my friend who was raised in the Tokyo area says that even when he was a child, he already considered earthquakes to be meant to happen.

Contrary to the aforementioned prediction, a powerful earthquake hasn't hit Shizuoka since the prediction was first announced many years ago (I'm not sure exactly when the first announcement was made. Maybe 40 or 50 years ago). Instead, at least ten massive earthquakes, including the 3/11 one, happened in other areas in the past three decades. If I count large magnitude earthquakes which didn't cause large damage, the number will soar. The Great Hanshin Earthquake in Kobe next to Osaka in 1997, which killed about 6500 people, caught people off guard since the frequency of earthquakes in the area had been low and no powerful earthquake had been expected to hit the area. Under these circumstances, I have been always assuming that massive earthquakes could happen anywhere in Japan and one is sure to hit my area sooner or later.

A few days ago, the earthquake research institute at Tokyo University announced that the chance of a powerful earthquake like a magnitude-7 quake striking the southern part of metropolitan Tokyo in the next four years is as high as 70%. The institute said that the possibility of a massive earthquake hitting Tokyo in the near future has become higher in the wake of the 3/11 earthquake. Although the Japanese government already announced last year that Tokyo has a 70 % chance of that powerful earthquake in the next 30 years, it seems that the phrase, in the next four years, is shocking to people. To be honest, I was a little shocked when I first read the news, but a few minutes later, I realized that there was nothing new in the news. However, this announcement warns that wide areas near Tokyo is due for a powerful earthquake, so we are strongly required to pay more attention to preparing ourselves for it.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/23/tokyo-powerful-earthquake-four-years

Jan 26th 2012 16:00 wittleghoul

  • I don't remember I felt earthquakes in childhood.
  • I don't remember if I felt earthquakes in childhood.

 

  • Although the Japanese government already announced last year that Tokyo has a 70 % chance of that powerful earthquake in the next 30 years, it seems that the phrase, in the next four years, is shocking to people.
  • Although the Japanese government already announced last year that Tokyo has a 70 % chance of that powerful earthquake in the next 30 years, it seems that the phrase "in the next four years" is shocking to people.

 

  • However, this announcement warns that wide areas near Tokyo is due for a powerful earthquake, so we are strongly required to pay more attention to preparing ourselves for it.
  • However, this announcement warns that wide areas near Tokyo are due for a powerful earthquake, so we are strongly advised to pay more attention to preparing ourselves for it.

 
You probably already knew this, but your English is amazing, and I learned something new from this article, so thank you. My heart goes out to those living in Japan.
Jan 27th 2012 02:20 Snoopy
Hi nice to meet you. Thank you for reading the entry and making corrections. I hope that you'll stop by my page when you have time.

Like you, fiends here sometimes leave kind comments about my English, but I haven't realized how well my English is. I'm really happy to hear that readers found my articles interesting and learned something from my articles since it means that they could understand what I wrote in English.

> I learned something new from this article, so thank you
I'm glad to hear that.

>My heart goes out to those living in Japan.
Thank you very much.
Jan 26th 2012 16:03 ガレット

  • The 70% chance of a powerful earthquake in the next four years.
  • A 70% chance that a powerful earthquake will occur in the next four years.

 

  • It has been predicted for perhaps about 40 years that Shizuoka prefecture/静岡県 has the highest chance of powerful earthquake.
  • It has been predicted for perhaps about 40 years that the Shizuoka prefecture (静岡県) has the highest chance of a powerful earthquake happening.

 

  • Because of this, the area has been paying the greatest attention in Japan to preparations for earthquakes.
  • Because of this, the area has been undergone the greatest attention in Japan. to preparations for earthquakes. ( You've established in the former sentence that an earthquake could happen, so it makes more sense to remove that last bit.)

 

  • The residents have been making great efforts to make their houses more earthquake resistant.
  • The residents have been making great efforts to make their houses more earthquake resistant.

 

  • When some friends of mine who were raised in Osaka moved to Tokyo, all of them told me that the frequency of earthquakes in Tokyo was much higher than in Osaka.
  • Some of my friends were raised in Osaka, but had moved to Tokyo. They told me the frequency of earthquakes in Tokyo was much higher than in Osaka.

 

  • They said that they were surprised to see that Tokyo people were used to earthquakes.
  • They were also surprised to see that Tokyo's citizens were used to earthquakes.

 

  • I've been recently living in the Tokyo area, but I was raised mainly in Osaka.
  • I've recently been living in the Tokyo area, but I was raised mainly in Osaka.

 

  • I don't remember I felt earthquakes in childhood.
  • I don't remember having felt earthquakes in childhood.

 

  • I'm sure I had them, but I don't think they were strong enough to shock me.
  • I'm sure I've experienced them, but I don't think they were strong enough to notice them.

 

  • In contrast, my friend who was raised in the Tokyo area says that even when he was a child, he already considered earthquakes to be meant to happen.
  • In contrast, my friend who was raised in the Tokyo area says that, even when he was a child, he already considered that earthquakes are meant to happen.

 

  • Contrary to the aforementioned prediction, a powerful earthquake hasn't hit Shizuoka since the prediction was first announced many years ago (I'm not sure exactly when the first announcement was made.
  • Contrary to the aforementioned prediction, a powerful earthquake hasn't hit Shizuoka since the prediction was first announced many years ago (I'm not sure exactly when the first announcement was made,

 

  • Maybe 40 or 50 years ago).
  • maybe 40 or 50 years ago).

 

  • Under these circumstances, I have been always assuming that massive earthquakes could happen anywhere in Japan and one is sure to hit my area sooner or later.
  • Under these circumstances, I have always been assuming that massive earthquakes could happen anywhere in Japan, and one is sure to hit my area sooner or later. (You seem to keep getting 'been' mixed up.)

 

  • To be honest, I was a little shocked when I first read the news, but a few minutes later, I realized that there was nothing new in the news.
  • To be honest, I was a little shocked when I first read the news, but then after a few minutes, I realized there was nothing unfamiliar in the news.

 

  • However, this announcement warns that wide areas near Tokyo is due for a powerful earthquake, so we are strongly required to pay more attention to preparing ourselves for it.
  • However, the announcement had warned many areas near Tokyo that a powerful earthquake is shortly due, so we are required to pay far more attention in preparation for it.

 
怖い~~
Jan 26th 2012 16:05 ガレット
Because of this, the area has been undergone the greatest attention in Japan. to preparations for earthquakes. ( You've established in the former sentence that an earthquake could happen, so it makes more sense to remove that last bit.)
I'm mistaken -- should be something like, "Because of this, the area has undergone the greatest attention in Japan for preparation of earthquakes."
Jan 27th 2012 02:27 Snoopy
Hi nice to meet you. Thank you for reading the entry and making corrections. I hope that you'll stop by my page when you have time.

>怖い~~
怖いけど、どうすることもできません。
Jan 26th 2012 20:12 s

  • However, there are differences in preparations for earthquakes among areas.
  • However, different preparations for earthquakes are carried out in different areas of the countries.

 

  • It has been predicted for perhaps about 40 years that Shizuoka prefecture/静岡県 has the highest chance of a powerful earthquake.
  • It has been predicted for perhaps about 40 years that Shizuoka prefecture/静岡県 has the highest chance of being struck by a powerful earthquake.

 

  • Because of this, the area has been paying the greatest attention in Japan to preparations for earthquakes.
  • Because of this, the area has been paying the greatest attention to earthquake preparation.

 

  • I've heard that many schools there require their students to wear helmets on the way to and from school.
  • I've heard that many schools there require their students to wear helmets on the way to and from school. (No correction, but wow!!)

 

  • They said that they were surprised to see that Tokyo people were used to earthquakes.
  • They said that they were surprised to see that people in Tokyo people were used to earthquakes.

 

  • I've been recently living in the Tokyo area, but I was raised mainly in Osaka.
  • I've been recently living in the Tokyo area recently, but I was raised mainly in Osaka.

 

  • I don't remember I felt earthquakes in childhood.
  • I don't remember feeling any earthquakes during my childhood.

 

  • I'm sure I had them, but I don't think they were strong enough to shock me.
  • I'm sure I experienced them, but I don't think they were strong enough for me to notice. (If you didn't notice them at all, this is how you can say it. If you think you noticed them at the time and just don't remember, you could say, "strong enough for me to remember.")

 

  • In contrast, my friend who was raised in the Tokyo area says that even when he was a child, he already considered earthquakes to be meant to happen.
  • In contrast, my friend who was raised in the Tokyo area says that even when he was a child, he already considered earthquakes to be an inevitable part of life.

 

  • Contrary to the aforementioned prediction, a powerful earthquake hasn't hit Shizuoka since the prediction was first announced many years ago (I'm not sure exactly when the first announcement was made.
  • Contrary to the aforementioned prediction, which was made many years ago, a powerful earthquake has yet to hit Shizuoka since the prediction was first announced many years ago (I'm not sure exactly when the first announcement was made.

 

  • Instead, at least ten massive earthquakes, including the 3/11 one, happened in other areas in the past three decades.
  • Instead, at least ten massive earthquakes, including the 3/11 one, have struck other areas in the past three decades.

 

  • If I count large magnitude earthquakes which didn't cause large damage, the number will soar.
  • If I include high magnitude earthquakes which didn't cause significant damage, the number will soar.

 

  • The Great Hanshin Earthquake in Kobe next to Osaka in 1997, which killed about 6500 people, caught people off guard since the frequency of earthquakes in the area had been low and no powerful earthquake had been expected to hit the area.
  • The Great Hanshin Earthquake in Kobe, next to Osaka, in 1997, which killed about 6500 people, caught people off guard since the frequency of earthquakes in that area had been low and no powerful earthquake had been expected there.

 

  • Under these circumstances, I have been always assuming that massive earthquakes could happen anywhere in Japan and one is sure to hit my area sooner or later.
  • Under these circumstances, I have been always assumed that a massive earthquakes could happen anywhere in Japan and one is sure to hit my area sooner or later.

 

  • A few days ago, the earthquake research institute at Tokyo University announced that the chance of a powerful earthquake like a magnitude-7 quake striking the southern part of metropolitan Tokyo in the next four years is as high as 70%.
  • A few days ago, the earthquake research institute at Tokyo University announced that the chance of a powerful earthquake with a magnitude of 7 or more striking the southern part of metropolitan Tokyo in the next four years is as high as 70%.

 

  • Although the Japanese government already announced last year that Tokyo has a 70 % chance of that powerful earthquake in the next 30 years, it seems that the phrase, in the next four years, is shocking to people.
  • Although the Japanese government already announced last year that Tokyo has a 70 % chance of being hit by a powerful earthquake in the next 30 years, it seems that the phrase, "in the next four years," is shocking to people.

 

  • To be honest, I was a little shocked when I first read the news, but a few minutes later, I realized that there was nothing new in the news.
  • To be honest, I was a little shocked when I first read the news, but a few minutes later, I realized that it was nothing new in the news. (It sounds awkward to me to repeat "the news" twice in the same sentence.)

 

  • However, this announcement warns that wide areas near Tokyo is due for a powerful earthquake, so we are strongly required to pay more attention to preparing ourselves for it.
  • However, this announcement warns that the Tokyo area is due for a powerful earthquake, so we are strongly urged to pay more attention to preparing ourselves for it.

 
That is scary news. I suppose earthquakes are inevitable, but I hope that Tokyo is well prepared and that the damage is minimal when a big one does occur.
Jan 27th 2012 02:43 Snoopy
However, different preparations for earthquakes are carried out in different areas of the countries.
Should I have written "However, there are regional differences in (approach to) preparations for earthquakes" ? Dose it sound strange? "However, different preparations for earthquakes are carried out in different areas of Japan" sounds better?

I mean that 地震対策への取り組みは日本国内でも地域によって異なる。
Jan 27th 2012 02:51 Snoopy
I've heard that many schools there require their students to wear helmets on the way to and from school. (No correction, but wow!!)
When I first heard of it, I didn't believe that. However, many grown-ups who were raised in Shizuoka insist that it's very common there. When they were students, they also did that.
Jan 27th 2012 02:53 Snoopy
I'm sure I experienced them, but I don't think they were strong enough for me to notice. (If you didn't notice them at all, this is how you can say it. If you think you noticed them at the time and just don't remember, you could say, "strong enough for me to remember.")
Thank you.

>If you think you noticed them at the time and just don't remember, you could say, "strong enough for me to remember.
This is what I wanted to say. Thank you!
Jan 27th 2012 03:01 Snoopy
Thanks for your help.

As you said, that is scary news, but I have no choice but to try to enjoy my life as much as possible while preparing myself for a massive earthquake.

It's been said that when a massive earthquake hits Tokyo, more people will die by fire than by collapses.
Jan 27th 2012 03:37 s
> "However, different preparations for earthquakes are carried out in different areas of the countries."

I'm sorry, I made a mistake. This should be, "in different areas of the country." If you change it to that, I think it means what you wanted to say. You could also say, "Methods of earthquake preparation differ throughout the country."

I remember learning that in the 1923 earthquake in Tokyo, most of the damage was from fires. I hope that doesn't happen again.
Jan 27th 2012 16:19 Snoopy
Thank you very much for your help again. I've just added the You Tube video I happened to find yesterday. If you are interested in it, please see it. Do this look like fireworks ? I've realized again how frequently and many we had earthquakes last year.
Jan 27th 2012 22:49 s
That video shocked me. The earth is really like a living thing. Thank you for posting it.
Jan 28th 2012 00:16 Snoopy
You are welcomed. I found the links below very interesting. If you are interested in them, just have a look.

First of all, please see the link below, and try to remember plate tectonics on the earth.
http://www.iris.edu/seismon/html/plates.html

After that, please see the links below.
http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com/
http://twitpic.com/655uxi
Jan 28th 2012 23:05 s
Thank you for the links. I'm checking them out.
Jan 29th 2012 02:44

  • The residents have been making great efforts to make their houses more earthquake resistant.
  • The residents have been making great efforts to make their houses more earthquake resistant.

 
Jan 30th 2012 02:17 Snoopy
Hi, nice to meet you. Thank you for reading the entry and your help.

Journals Statistics

Latest entry

See more >>

Latest comments

See more >>

Entries by Month